Quarter Ending June 2026
Global Ammonium Sulphate (AS; 21% N, 24% S) markets in Q2 2026 demonstrated stable to moderately bullish dynamics, underpinned by expanding agricultural sulfur management and healthy demand across key cash-crop regions (Latin America, Southeast Asia, and North America). Standard Caprolactam-grade AS traded in the range of USD 125–175/MT FOB across Asian, European, and Middle Eastern hubs, while Compacted / Granular AS commanded a firm premium at USD 165–230/MT FOB due to direct bulk-blending compatibility.
Production economics remain governed by two primary routes: Caprolactam By-product recovery (Nylon-6 value chain) and Direct Synthetic Neutralization (ammonia reacting with sulfuric acid). Merchant ammonia serves as the primary direct feedstock cost component, while natural gas acts as the critical indirect driver governing upstream ammonia production economics. The phased implementation of the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) continued to influence supplier selection and procurement strategies for nitrogen fertilizers entering the European market. Caprolactam-derived ammonium sulphate may benefit from lower allocated embedded emissions under accepted emissions allocation methodologies, although the effective CBAM liability depends on verified plant-level emissions reporting and regulatory guidance.
|
Benchmark / Grade |
Region & Mechanism |
QoQ Change |
Avg. Price (USD/MT) |
Supply Balance |
Demand Sector |
Key Market Driver |
Outlook |
|
FOB China Caprolactam Grade AS |
East Asia Bulk Export |
+1% to +3% |
USD 125–155 |
Ample |
Global Agriculture |
Caprolactam operating rates, exports to Brazil & SE Asia |
Neutral |
|
FOB China Granular AS |
East Asia Bulk Export |
+2% to +5% |
USD 165–200 |
Balanced |
Direct Agricultural Application |
Bulk blending demand, soybean acreage, freight |
Moderately Bullish |
|
FOB Northwest Europe AS |
Northwest Europe Spot |
+1% to +3% |
USD 160–195 |
Balanced |
EU Agriculture |
Ammonia prices, sulfuric acid costs, EU ETS & CBAM |
Stable |
|
FOB Middle East AS |
GCC Export |
+1% to +4% |
USD 135–175 |
Ample |
Global Fertilizer Markets |
Low-cost ammonia feedstock, export demand |
Stable |
|
FOB US Gulf Granular AS |
US Gulf Coast |
+2% to +4% |
USD 185–230 |
Balanced/Tight |
Corn Belt Agriculture |
Sulfur nutrition demand, domestic logistics |
Moderately Bullish |
Note: Prices reflect indicative quarterly average transaction ranges in USD per Metric Ton (USD/MT). Standard/Caprolactam-grade AS consists of fine crystalline material requiring compaction for bulk blending, whereas Granular grade is directly suitable for mechanical spreader application. FOB Middle East benchmark represents GCC export availability leveraging low-cost gas-based ammonia.
|
Cost Driver |
Impact on Ammonium Sulphate Pricing |
Impact Level |
|
Merchant Ammonia |
Primary variable nitrogen feedstock across direct synthetic production routes |
Very High |
|
Sulfuric Acid |
Direct reaction co-feedstock in synthetic route; key cost driver for direct producers |
High |
|
Natural Gas (via Ammonia) |
Dominant upstream feedstock cost driver governing synthetic ammonia economics |
Very High (Indirect) |
|
Caprolactam Operating Rates |
Drives global by-product AS supply volume; Asian run rates dictate export availability |
High |
|
Granulation Costs |
Processing cost to convert fine crystalline by-product into high-value granular grade |
Medium |
|
EU ETS / CBAM |
Regional carbon compliance cost premium based on verified embedded emissions |
Medium to High |
|
Product / Route |
Primary Price Correlation |
Comments & Production Route Dynamics |
|
Caprolactam By-product AS |
Caprolactam operating rates / Nylon-6 demand |
Inelastic supply; production output governed by polyamide demand rather than AS fertilizer pricing |
|
Synthetic AS (Ammonia) |
Merchant Ammonia (0.80–0.88) |
Elastic supply; margin determined by spread between ammonia + sulfuric acid inputs and AS product |
|
Synthetic AS (Acid) |
Sulfuric Acid (0.70–0.80) |
Direct reaction co-feedstock spread tracking elemental sulfur and smelter acid availability |
|
Granular AS |
Granulation premium (USD 35–50/MT) |
Commands USD 35–50/MT premium over standard crystalline to cover compaction/binder operating costs |
Caprolactam By-product Recovery: Modern caprolactam plants typically generate approximately 2.5–4.5 metric tons of ammonium sulphate by-product per metric ton of caprolactam produced, depending on process technology and recovery configuration. Because AS is a co-product, its supply is highly inelastic and driven by textile/polyamide demand rather than agricultural cycles.
Emissions Allocation & CBAM Liabilities: The phased implementation of the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) continued to influence supplier selection and procurement strategies for nitrogen fertilizers entering the European market. Caprolactam-derived ammonium sulphate may benefit from lower allocated embedded emissions under accepted emissions allocation methodologies, although the effective CBAM liability depends on verified plant-level emissions reporting and regulatory guidance.
Supplier Carbon Verification: Compliance liabilities center on verified direct and indirect emissions ($tCO_2/tNH_3$). Exporters with advanced emissions accounting and lower-carbon ammonia feedstock face reduced compliance costs when selling into Europe.